Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs. GB

David Dorey, @DMDorey

Prediction: DET 13, GB 24 (Line: GB by 7.5)

UPDATE: Ameer Abdullah was placed on injured reserve. Eric Ebron was limited on Thursday because of his back but had a full practice on Friday and will play this week despite his questionable status.

The 1-1 Lions come off a painful home loss to the Titans and now hit the road for what should be one of the toughest games of the year. The 1-1 Packers are also coming off a bad loss when the Vikings took the win without their starting quarterback or running back.

These rivals traded road wins in 2015. The Lions won, somehow, 18-16 in Green Bay in Week 10 and the Packers took their road trip 27-23 three weeks later.

Detroit Lions

1 @IND 39-35 10 BYE ---
2 TEN 15-16 11 JAC ---
3 @GB --- 12 MIN ---
4 @CHI --- 13 @NO ---
5 PHI --- 14 CHI ---
6 LA --- 15 @NYG ---
7 WAS --- 16 @DAL ---
8 @HOU --- 17 GB ---
9 @MIN ---      
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 280,1
RB LeGarrette Blount 90,1
RB Theo Riddick 30 6-40
WR Marvin Jones Jr. 6-90
PK Matt Prater 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: That offense that played so well in Indianapolis suddenly went flat at home versus the Titans. The rushing effort that looked promising stumbled and likely lost the primary back for at least this week if not beyond. The only receiver of any note has been Marvin Jones who has yet to score. The Lions are now on the road against a better than average defense. This is one of the key games of the year but the offense is not looking like it is going to be a difference maker.

QUARTERBACK : After opening to a big 340 yard, three touchdown effort in the season opener, Matt Stafford settled for only 260 yards and one score versus the Titans. He was also sacked four times after never being touched by the Colts. Almost half of those yards came from Marvin Jones while the rest of the receivers just are not stepping up.

Stafford passed for 242 yards and two scores in Green Bay last year.

RUNNING BACK : Ameer Abdullah injured his foot last week and it was bad enough to arrange an appointment with Dr. Anderson in North Carolina. That alone says this is not sprain. There is speculation that he may have a Lis Franc injury. Bottom line is he is not likely for this week and his outlook is unclear at best. Theo Riddick was a big factor in Week 1 with two scores and 108 total yards but then only managed 65 total yards with three more touches last week.

The interest here is with Dwayne Washington. He was the 7.15 pick by the Lions this year and the 6-1, 223 lb. ex-Washington Husky will see a bigger role with Abdullah out. He ran for 32 yards and a score on just six carries last week. He is worth a grab and stash at the least since the Lions have a favorable schedule this year and Abdullah's durability is already in question.

WIDE RECEIVER : Marvin Jones leads the team with 12 catches for 203 yards but no other wideout has gained more than 48 yards in any game. Golden Tate is getting seven or more passes per week but only totaled nine catches for 54 yards on the year. Anquan Boldin topped out with 48 yards on four catches last week but did score once. This unit has been little more than Jones but at least he's been consistently good for the first two weeks.

TIGHT END : Eric Ebron is hardly elite yet but at least he is turning in around 50 yards per game and scored in the opener. Ebron remains in the game plan but needs more than just an average sort of day to merit a fantasy start.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: These two divisional rivals are less about matching up the last few game results. Stafford looked great against the Colts but then much less so versus the Titans. The Packers have given up 280+ yards per game so far and at least one score. But they have been outstanding versus the run and the Lions are likely without Abdullah. Riddick is worth a start as a receiver but Washington is much too untried and in a tough matchup for a start. He's worth owning for now but just not starting.

Ebron is a good start this week to at least maintain his 50 yard level and the Packers allowed a touchdown to a tight end in both matchups this year. Ebron faced a Titans defense that was weaker versus the position but only had 53 yards on four catches.

Jones is a must start but the only successful wideout so far has been Stefon Diggs who shredded the Golden Tate side of the defense. Tate is too risky to merit consideration even in an apparently decent matchup.

Gaining Fantasy Points DET 9 2 20 15 17 13
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 15 2 21 27 18 20

Green Bay Packers

1 @JAC 27-23 10 @TEN ---
2 @MIN 14-17 11 @WAS ---
3 DET --- 12 @PHI ---
4 BYE --- 13 HOU ---
5 NYG --- 14 SEA ---
6 DAL --- 15 @CHI ---
7 CHI --- 16 MIN ---
8 @ATL --- 17 @DET ---
9 IND ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 20 270,3
WR Davante Adams 3-50,1
WR Randall Cobb 6-80
TE Jimmy Graham 4-50,1
TE Lance Kendricks 3-20
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Packers finally get their home opener and then take a bye the next week. The offense has not looked anything like it did in 2014 and before. Last year was an off year without Jordy Nelson but he's back, sort of, and the passing offense has never looked more average. The rushing effort has not been bad but is underused with never more than 14 runs by Eddie Lacy. There's only been one instance of a receiver with more than 60 yards. The Packers have been slow starting in previous years and ended up fine but the lack of any real offensive punch is troubling.

QUARTERBACK : Aaron Rodgers has supplemented his fantasy value with a rushing score in each game but he has not passed for more than 213 yards or two touchdowns so far. He has a full complement of receivers again and even a potential upgrade at tight end but the offense remains very ordinary.

RUNNING BACK : Eddie Lacy gained a healthy 111 yards on 26 carries (4.3 YPC) but is not getting more than 14 carries in a game and has just one catch on the season. Lacy takes almost everything there is for the running backs but so far has not been more than mediocre.

WIDE RECEIVER : Jordy Nelson scored in both games and has a team best 73 yards on five catches last week. His 20 targets overall dwarfs all others. But he is only averaging around 50 yards per week. Randal Cobb has not scored nor had more than 57 yards in any game. His playing is much more reminiscent of the head scratching 2015 than previous seasons. This is an average crew at best and contains no real fantasy stars other than Nelson and he's relevant solely because he is scoring each week.

TIGHT END : Jared Cook's contribution has been minimal. His big chance to reinvigorate his career only produced five receptions for 38 yards in two weeks.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is an excellent chance to get some passing going. The Lions have already allowed six passing scores and even Marcus Mariota threw for two touchdowns. Tight ends have snared a total of four of those touchdowns so this is where Cook has to shine - it will not get any better than this.

Lacy's mediocre stats fall right into place with what the Lions have allowed. He's nothing more than a RB3 starter with little chance of many receptions.

This is where Rodgers and Nelson are locks. Cooks is worth the chance and particularly in daily play since he'll come cheaply. Cobb should have a decent showing as well though it will be the first he has.

Gaining Fantasy Points GB 6 31 14 23 24 14
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 29 18 13 32 10 9

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