Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs. KC

David Dorey, @DMDorey

Prediction: NYJ 20, KC 24 (Line: KC by 3)

UPDATE: Brandon Marshall is a game-time decision because of his knee and foot injuries. He was unable to practice other than limited work on Friday. He may still play but I am lowering his projections since he won't be 100% healthy if he can suit up. He is a risky start but has always been a gamer when it comes to playing injured. I am removing him from the projections but he could still play.

Jamaal Charles remains listed as doubtful and is not expected to play despite limited work in all practices.

The 1-1 Jets come off their win over the Bills and head to Kansas City where the 1-1 Chiefs come off their road loss to the Texans. The venue is the biggest determinant in this game. Both sport defenses that can be outstanding but more so at home than on the road.

New York Jets

1 CIN 22-23 10 LA ---
2 @BUF 37-31 11 BYE ---
3 @KC --- 12 NE ---
4 SEA --- 13 IND ---
5 @PIT --- 14 @SF ---
6 @ARI --- 15 MIA ---
7 BAL --- 16 @NE ---
8 @CLE --- 17 BUF ---
9 @MIA ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Isaiah Crowell 70,1 1-10
WR Quincy Enunwa 6-70
WR Rishard Matthews 4-50
TE Clive Walford 5-60,1
PK Jason Myers 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The offense finally kicked in last Thursday and for one week all was right with the Jets. No matter that Darrelle Revis keeps getting burned or that their defense allowed 31 points, the Jets notched their first win. This will starts a brutal stretch for the Jets with road games against KC, PIT and ARI with one homestand against the Seahawks sandwiched in. Matt Forte in particular looked great last week but he has a very tough slate of games starting with this week.

QUARTERBACK : While Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 374 yards in Buffalo, he only had one score because Matt Forte notched three rushing touchdowns. With the same number of passes as week one versus the Bengals, Fitzpatrick ended up with nearly twice the yardage thanks to the Bills soft secondary. This next month will not help his statistics but he usually remains at least average.

RUNNING BACK : Matt Forte owners were rightfully giddy when he blew up for 100 rushing yards and three touchdowns but those came on 30 carries and he only managed two receptions for nine yards. His biggest positive is that he has become a workhorse with at least 27 touches per game. Bilal Powell had a significant role in 2015 but that stopped with Forte on the team. Powell has only rushed five times over the last two weeks and caught just three passes for seven yards. He's lost all fantasy value while Forte has never been better. Even with the tough schedule lying immediately ahead, Forte should at least maintain some value each week thanks to being a receiver as well.

WIDE RECEIVER : Brandon Marshall gave a scare when his knee was awkwardly trapped beneath him during a tackle and he was in obvious pain. But his knee checked out and he returned to the game and ended with six catches for 101 yards. He still has not scored yet this year but Eric Decker caught touchdowns in both games and even led the team with 126 yards on six catches in Buffalo. Quincy Enunwa continues to be a surprise with a team high 13 catches on the year and 92 yards last week on six catches. Enunwa banged up his ribs but still played. Expanding the passing offense to three credible threats at wide receivers will come in very handy facing so many tough secondaries.

All three wideouts were banged up - Marshall (knee), Decker (shoulder) and Enunwa (ribs). Only Marshall has any question of playing. I'll hold him out for now and update later in the week when more is known.

TIGHT END : Still not one completion to any tight end.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chiefs have been consistent allowing around 250 yards and one score to opposing quarterbacks and yet were less adept at stopping the run. Both opponents totaled over 100 rushing yards against them and the Chargers scored twice using Melvin Gordon. What bodes better for the Jets is that the only successful receivers have been the starting wide outs though this defense plays much better when at home and the Jets at best will have a banged up Brandon Marshall if he even plays.

Forte is a must start anyway and should have some success here as well. Expect just one score from Ryan Fitzpatrick that should favor Eric Decker getting the hat trick this week. Quincy Enunwa is a must start if Marshall cannot play and is a moderate play even with Marshall there.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 18 7 2 32 3 15
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 9 26 17 7 31 27

Kansas City Chiefs

1 SD 33-27 10 @CAR ---
2 @HOU 12-19 11 TB ---
3 NYJ --- 12 @DEN ---
4 @PIT --- 13 @ATL ---
5 BYE --- 14 OAK ---
6 @OAK --- 15 TEN ---
7 NO --- 16 DEN ---
8 @IND --- 17 @SD ---
9 JAC ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Spencer Ware 50,1 4-30
WR Kelvin Benjamin 5-80,1
WR Chris Conley 4-50
TE Travis Kelce 6-60,1

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs offense was explosive against the Chargers in Week 1 but then bogged down in the loss to the Texans. This week should fall somewhere between those two extremes and the Chiefs need this win since there is a trip to Pittsburgh next week followed by their bye. Then the schedule goes through a wonderful four week stretch of very soft defenses. The specter of Jamaal Charles returning still exists but so far it is just a theory. Coming back in the same week as facing the Jets is not that attractive anyway.

QUARTERBACK : This week can help to answer who Alex Smith really is. After posting 363 yards and three touchdowns in the opener, he fell back to only 186 yards, no scores and two lost fumbles in Houston. Other than Jeremy Maclin, the receivers that did well in the first week did nearly nothing in Houston.

RUNNING BACK : Jamaal Charles remains out with his knee issue and is no lock to play this week. With a very tough rushing defense up next week as well, they could elect to finally roll him out after the bye in Week 6 when they travel to Oakland. Spencer Ware wasn't as good as he was in Week 1, but he still managed 105 total yards last week. He'll continue to be the primary back until Charles returns.

WIDE RECEIVER : There has been nearly no help from the wide receivers this year other than Jeremy Maclin who turned in around 65 yards both weeks and scored in the opener. Even when Smith passed for 363 yards, no wideout had more than Maclin's 63 yards. Chris Conley gets up to seven targets per game but very little happens.

TIGHT END : After opening with 74 yards on six catches, Travis Kelce was held to only 34 yards on five receptions by the Texans. He was targeted the same seven times but his production is always contingent on the middle tier of the defense which is good with the Texans.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets have been great against the run and held all backs to under 60 rushing yards though Jeremy Hill scored once. Where the Jets have struggled is against the pass with over 295 yards allowed each week and a total of four touchdowns. A.J. Green shredded this secondary and last week Greg Salas and Marquise Goodwin combined for 201 yards and two scores. Maclin and Kelce both should see at least moderate yardage with a chance for a score and a long gainer to pump up the stat line. Ware is also worth consideration this week though mostly because he stands a good shot at a score but his yardage should be more limited by the Jets.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 19 6 25 16 7 23
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 26 8 30 10 22 19

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