Game Predictions & Player Projections - OAK vs. TEN

David Dorey, @DMDorey

Prediction: OAK 20, TEN 24 (Line: TEN by 1.5)

UPDATE: Delanie Walker's hamstring injury had him miss practices on Wednesday and Friday. He was able to have some limited work on Thursday. He's listed as questionable and would be limited if he played. I am not removing him from the projections though he is no lock to play. But I am lowering his outlook and his status should be checked pregame to make sure he is active and the hamstring is not an issue to prevent him from playing in this very, very nice matchup.

The 1-1 Raiders fell to the visiting Falcons and now head to Tennessee to face the 1-1 Titans who just upset the Lions in Detroit. Both teams have not won at home but pulled upsets on the road. This is a coin flip game. The Raiders won 24-21 in Tennessee last year.

Oakland Raiders

1 @NO 35-34 10 BYE ---
2 ATL 28-35 11 HOU ---
3 @TEN --- 12 CAR ---
4 @BAL --- 13 BUF ---
5 SD --- 14 @KC ---
6 KC --- 15 @SD ---
7 @JAC --- 16 IND ---
8 @TB --- 17 @DEN ---
9 DEN ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK @ TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Derek Carr 280,2
RB Doug Martin
WR Amari Cooper 5-100
WR Brandon LaFell 3-20
WR Jordy Nelson 6-60,1
WR Seth Roberts 3-30
TE Jared Cook 5-50,1
PK Mike Nugent 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders offense ranked top ten in most categories including tops for running backs even if that takes three guys to get the job done. Derek Carr is averaging over 300 passing yards and seven different players have already scored a touchdown. Even better, the Raiders defense is worse this year and has averaged giving up 412 passing yards and at least three touchdowns every week. The Raiders are becoming the new Saints - plenty of points for everyone involved.

QUARTERBACK : Derek Carr comes off his worst passing yards - only 299 versus the Falcons but with three touchdowns. He hasn't relied on running backs as receivers as much but Clive Walford is at least incrementally better as the receiving tight end. Amazingly, three wideouts have scored and yet Amari Cooper has not.

RUNNING BACK : There are plenty of fantasy points here, it is just that the Raiders have settled into a rotation already and that now means no back is getting more than eight carries though Latavius Murray has up to six catches in a game. Murray has rushed in a score both weeks and is clearly the best back but the committee approach has worked so far. Jalen Richard was the surprise in Week 1 when he ran for 84 yards and a score on just three rushes but then settled back to only 27 total yards last week. DeAndre Washington popped off for 46 yards on six runs versus the Falcons.

The best that could happen is for Murray to be wildly more productive than the others and gather more of the workload but that has not happened yet.

WIDE RECEIVER : Amari Cooper hasn't scored but he leads the team with 11 receptions for 208 yards - sixth best in the NFL. Michael Crabtree scored last week but his yardage is off the pace of 2015. Seth Roberts also scored once but has been a very distant #3 in the passing targets. Cooper continues to get around 10 targets per game. He'll break out a big score here soon.

TIGHT END : Clive Walford had expectations of a better year and he comes off six catches for 50 yards and one score last week. He's getting six or seven targets but has dropped passes. He still has upside and a chance to become a difference maker for the Raiders.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Titans offense is nothing special but the defense has quietly gotten the job done. Granted - only facing the Vikings and Lions offenses helped. But no rusher has topped 38 yards against them so far and none scored. They have only allowed one passing touchdown that was last week in a road game.

The Raiders have a better offense and should see at least incrementally more success but this smacks of a lower scoring game that won't have the running backs help much. They are allowing almost 60 yards per game to tight ends so expect moderate yardage for Walford. They have allowed a 100 yard receiver in both weeks and the passing defense is where the Raiders have to find their success.

Carr, Cooper, Crabtree and Walford are all moderate starts with some upside. Murray looks to be in a negative matchup and is not likely to score but can sustain fantasy value if they continue to use him as a receiver.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 8 1 6 13 23 24
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 8 1 12 12 26 32

Tennessee Titans

1 MIN 16-25 10 GB ---
2 @DET 16-15 11 @IND ---
3 OAK --- 12 @CHI ---
4 @HOU --- 13 BYE ---
5 @MIA --- 14 DEN ---
6 CLE --- 15 @KC ---
7 IND --- 16 @JAC ---
8 JAC --- 17 HOU ---
9 @SD ---      
News | Statistics | Roster
TEN vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Blaine Gabbert 20 180,1
QB Marcus Mariota 310,2
WR Rishard Matthews 4-50
WR Tajae Sharpe 7-100,1
TE Delanie Walker 3-40
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Titans scored four times this year and yet none were by rushing. What appeared in the preseason to be a dominating rushing offense hasn't produced a 100 yard runner or scored other than DeMarco Murray as a receiver. Marcus Mariota is spreading the ball around and there has been no stars on this offense. But the Raiders are coming to town and with them the chance for solid fantasy points.

QUARTERBACK : Marcus Mariota threw for two scores in each game and is averaging around 250 yards. He hasn't favored anyone and so far no one has topped 50 yards more than once. That should change this week though it is starting to look suspiciously like 2015 with Delanie Walker starting to become the most productive receiver again.

RUNNING BACK : DeMarco Murray has been productive but mostly thanks to his secondary role as a receiver. He's caught at least five passes in each game and those gave him his only touchdowns on the season. At home versus the Vikings he totaled 77 yards while last week in Detroit he rolled up 145 total yards but did not score. Derrick Henry sticks around 40 yards each week and hasn't yet suggested that he is worth fantasy consideration.

WIDE RECEIVER : Other than Tajae Sharpe's 76 yards in the opener, this group has been a major disappointment and already rank #30 in fantasy points. The only touchdown by the group was from Andre Johnson on his only catch last week. Sharpe should come into play again against a very soft Raiders defense. This week is as good as it gets for the wide receivers.

TIGHT END : Delanie Walker only had three catches for 42 yards in Week 1 but turned in six receptions for 83 yards and a score in Detroit. He is still the most consistent receiver and his outlook gets brighter with each week that the rushing effort doesn't make a difference.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Make no mistake - this is a really bad secondary that has made average quarterbacks look elite. This is as good as it gets. Mariota is even in play this week. Delanie Walker and Tajae Sharpe are must starts and DeMarco Murray should have at least a moderate week - better if he still catches the ball. No need to over think. These are the Raiders and they have not failed to fail on defense.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 16 8 30 10 28 28
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 32 19 32 26 23 1

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